Stop and rest awhile as the caravan moves on
chez  Nadezhda is a space to share conversations, books, photos and resources on foreign affairs, national security, nation-building, rule of law, political economy, history, religions and beliefs, communication and cultures.
[Site under construction -- watch your step]
Recent Articles
Great minds and all that
nadezhda (0)   Sep 21
This Turkey Won't Fly
nadezhda (2)   Sep 21
One picture says it all
nadezhda (0)   Aug 8
Obama's exercise in rhetoric
nadezhda (0)   Jul 24
Obama Grand Tour and McCain Circus Roundup
nadezhda (1)   Jul 21
Biden has Obama's Afghan back = update - and the Pentagon too
nadezhda (0)   Jul 17
Bush's Pakistan-Afghanistan-Iran "legacy" - updated
nadezhda (0)   Jul 17
Then WTF is a "bail-out"?
nadezhda (1)   Jul 16
Blogging making reporters more relevant
nadezhda (0)   Jun 18
Ignatius and Zakaria - new WaPo joint venture
nadezhda (1)   Jun 16
Reasserting US Hegemony: Russian rollback, Chinese containment and Iranian regime change
nadezhda (0)   May 8
What's up
nadezhda (0)   Apr 22
A "paddling" of lame ducks?
nadezhda (0)   Apr 22
Voices of the New Arab Public
nadezhda (0)   Dec 31
Time for a post-post-9/11 world?
nadezhda (0)   Dec 21
Search
Ivory Tower Pros
Communities of Interest
Calls Across the Water
This Month
January 2005
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20 21 22
23 24 25 26 27 28 29
30 31
BlogHarbor Badge

powered by BlogHarbor



View Article  New think tank for Democrats -- Policy Center for Epistemology & Rhetoric
Mark Schmitt has a wonderful post that has an interesting set of comments (including from prak and Billmon). Although not explictly such, the post can be seen part of a related series The Decembrist has been publishing about how Democrats think and communicate policy.

The most recent installment is on the phenomenon of Democratic consultants and politicos of all ilks who are eagerly embracing the advice found in George Lakoff's Don't Think of an Elephant: Know Your Values and Frame the Debate--The Essential Guide for Progressives.

You can get an idea of Mark's take on the Lakoff-phenomenon from the title of his Decembrist post: No Guru, No Method, No "DaVinci Code." Yet this post is as much a defense of Lakoff as a take-down. He puts primary blame for the epidemic of silliness on the people doing the embracing, rather on Lakoff himself.

My comment at The Decembrist was sufficiently lengthy and "standalone" that I republish it here [minor edits made only for readability]. I'm rather pleased with the title I've given these remarks, even if I do says so myself.




My favorite Lakoff -- and where I think the best nuggets of insight are found -- are where he doesn't try to apply his cognitive approach to politics per se.

I'd reach even further back in time than Mark -- to the seminal Metaphors We Live By. It was one of the core applications of related ideas in Berger & Luckmann's equally seminal The Social Construction of Reality : A Treatise in the Sociology of Knowledge.

Lakoff's and Mark Johnson's "metaphors" were an epiphany. By now, the perspective they presented has been thoroughly incorporated into how Americans see things in their information marketplace, even if some of us aren't totally "fluent" yet in metaphors, narratives and frames. Certainly this stuff is mothers milk today for the successful marketing and advertising hacks Billmon's talking about, whether they work in the political sphere or are just flogging commercial products.

The research program of Lakoff and his co-authors over the past few decades, or of cognitionists (somebody help me out, what's the right term?) who are heavily influenced by his core ideas, is similarly rich with ways of understanding how the process of talking about what we think has such a reciprocal effect with the way we think, and even what we think/believe. Those concepts have endless application to politics.

The giant Lakoff-hug happening now just illustrates that we always need somebody to be the popularizer of these sorts of ideas. Most political hacks -- Democrats or Republicans -- aren't going to trawl through the rather dense pages of current debates on such relevant issues as epistemology, heuristics and decision-making in quick-time, and how all of that is being affected by the acceleration of the unintermediated horizontal flow of information and ideas represented by the internet.

We need the Malcolm Gladwells and James Surowieckis to do that for us, as in their week-long BookClub discussion in Slate earlier this month. But even that step isn't enough. We then we need another round of popularizing -- to take the concepts and insights that have been boiled down and reframed by the Gladwells et al and then show how they apply in a particular setting. In the case at hand, the realm of domestic politcs.

This process isn't somehow unique for the fighters and their managers in the arena of political combat. It's the same for the business managers and marketing professionals who apply new insights emerging from cognitive neuroscience and its various "liberal arts" counterparts -- whether linguistics, rhetoric, neuroeconomics, etc. The business-types have one big advantage over the political-types, however. The B-schools produce first-rate popularizers of these concepts. The B-school professors do the trawling for nuggets for the managers, and do the digesting, synthesizing and finding real-world case studies to apply these ideas.

Business types and politicos have this behavior in common: thinking they've found the guru and the silver bullet when all they've found is the "flavor of the month." A favorite object of B-school studies is the company that got screwed up by management's over-eager embrace of "lessons" taken out of context from the latest business-best-seller. So the fact that practitioners of Democratic strategy and communication think they have found the recipe for gold shouldn't come as a surprise.

I certainly agree with Mark that we need people who digest insights "...like Lakoff's, and some insight from a historian like Alan Brinkley or Kevin Mattson, and some insight from an economist like, say, Edward Wolff, and a sociologist here and a journalist or three, and put them in perspective and integrate them." I also think he makes a very important point that it takes an old-fashioned cross-disciplinary "liberal arts" mentality to do that. We all pay a price for the narrowing academic professionalization/specialization of the humanities and social sciences.

I'd add that it's not just a matter of finding people with the right breadth of mind to do the digesting and thinking for the vast majority of us who aren't going to do it ourselves. I'd suggest an equally important part of the overall problem is the absence of a group of competent popularizers who can do the same thing for politics as the B-school professors do for business and marketing.

As Mark points out, it's really rather unfair to Lakoff to expect him to be intellectual innovator, applied research scientist, and popularizer all in one. Unfortunately, I think Lakoff's not applied some lessons from his own important work to himself. But he's not the first intellectual to be blinded a bit by the bright lights of the public stage.

Maybe while we're talking about expanding Democratic-oriented policy centers and think tanks we should add a "Policy Center for Epsitemology and Rhetoric" to do the popularizing?
View Article  A Russian Sampler -- November 2004
Maybe it's not such a bad idea after all that the next Secretary of State is an old Kremlinoligist. November has been an active month for Russia-watching, some good news, some not so good news.

Main areas of interest in this clippings collection:
1. A second term for President Bush -- views from Moscow
2. Black Gold - Russia has more... and then some
3. The evolving structure of Russia's political economy, and the dilemma of low growth and investment outside the energy sector
4. The CIS and the Near-Abroad -- Russia's posture in its sphere of influence, and the West's responses
5. NATO -- areas of collaboration and friction
6. Nuclear weapons and treaties
7. Chechnya
   more »
View Article  Do You Like Energy?
Do you like reading about energy?

Joe Katzman at WindsofChange, who I suspect is probably one of only a handful of people that is equally comfortable switching between Worldchanging and Blackfive, has posted a comprehensive round-up on energy issues. Be sure to catch the ongoing discussion on China's possible futures, too.

I don't always agree with Joe, and I'm not sure I fully agree with this, but I liked his comment in response to an old post of mine about China, Paul Wolfowitz, and certainty:

My take: it would surely be foolish to dismiss the possibility of a neo-fascist China, given the warning signs we can already see. That means the ability to enact a policy of containment if necessary is an important goal, and strategic positions must not be given up lightly (this largely explains why the USA still bothers with South Korea). Until this possibility can be dismissed, relations with China should remain wary and with "Plan B" always in the background.

At the same time, it would also be foolish to assume that this is China's only future. Hence the prospect of engagement over North Korea, economic links like the WTO, and other activities designed to draw China in and hope they'll play. Or even tacks designed to engage the Chinese people, and affect trends in that country. That last bit has to be played carefully, but the stakes are too high to take it off the table.

To an outsider, this will look like the USA is pursuing 2 tracks at once, tracks which are slightly contradictory. That's a correct assessment - and smart policy, too.

Smarter policy still looks at the scenarios, and the forces shaping events, and the kinds of events that could be critical tipping points, without committing to any one scenario. That way, if a possible future begins to come true, it's possible to see the signs early and begin to make appropriate changes quickly.
Thanks to JC for prompting the discussion, and be sure to read WoC regularly.

UPDATE: [1:34 10/27/04] by praktike: Joe reminds me that it was actually the hipster John Atkinson who put the energy roundup together.
View Article  Bill Buckley Speaks the Truth
I may not agree with William F. Buckley on much, but I agree with this:
What needs to be said about oil is that it IS worth fighting for. We would all agree that air and water are necessities. Without them life instantly ends. Without oil, life does not end, but life radically changes.
Then he proceeds to go off the rails and conflate oil with electricity and doesn't say anything about alternatives other than nuclear power. But his general point is sound: oil is worth defending.

Perhaps the plan was that the invasion of Iraq and the concomitant ending of sanctions would save the doomed multinational oil companies (who were having trouble finding new reserves and thus were in danger of losing a good chunk of their market capitalization) and bring Iraq's oil fields up to modern standards, which would then pump ever-greater quantities to mitigate the effect of China's growing demand and give the United States more leverage over Russia and the House of Saud, but none of that has happened yet. Instead, today the price of oil remains over $50 a barrel in part due to the security premium exacerbated by the invasion of Iraq, and it may well be that Al Qaeda's bank account gets a bump every time it goes up. Surely there was a better way.
View Article  Freaking About Peaking
Who knew the normally delightfully jejune Ken Layne could wonk?

I'll have more thoughts on this later, when I have more time to do some research.
View Article  Winning the Oil Endgame
The new book by Amory Lovins et. al. of the Rocky Mountain Institute is available online for free.


Winning the Oil Endgame: Innovation for Profits, Jobs, and Security
Written and edited by Amory B. Lovins, E. Kyle Datta, Odd-Even Bustnes, Jonathan G. Koomey and Nathan J. Glasgow. Designed by Ben Emerson.

Published by Rocky Mountain Institute (2004).
Softcover, 309 pages.
ISBN#: 1-881071-10-3