Stop and rest awhile as the caravan moves on
View Article  Mallaby Channels Nadezhda; Praktike Channels ... Something
I see that Daniel Drezner really, really likes Sebastian Mallaby's book about the World Bank and its head, James Wolfensohn. I just started it last night, and so far it's as good as Drezner says. As is my wont, I'd like to share a brief passage from it that relates to the current Colemanian brouhaha over Kofi Annan and the UN (btw, I'm willing to admit that I could well be wrong on the politics and/or the merits, especially given McCain's position).

Here's Mallaby:
We veer between contempts for international bodies--the United Nations, the International Monetary Fund, and likewise the World Bank--and unrealistic pronouncements on what they ought to do: forge peace, banish financial instability, lift every person out of poverty. It has become commonplace to say that our global institutions are not up to the challenge of our unprecedented global interdependence. But the reason for this mismatch lies partly in our shizophrenia. Sometimes we pour scorn on the Bank and other international bodies, and starve them of resources. Sometimes we talk as though they must have superhuman strengthm and we lumber them with impossible objectives.
That graf could have been written by our own inimitable Ms. Nadezhda, no? More concretely:
When President George W. Bush took office, it was the contempt that seemed most threatening. In 2001 and 2002, the Bush Treasury assailed the Bank with a mixture of aggression and plain ignorance, as this book will describe later [Note: I haven't gotten there yet. -p]. In early 2003, the Bank was left out of the planning for Iraqi reconstruction by the Pentagon, even though it had valuable experience from other nation-building exercises. The Pentagon's attitude did not prevent the Treasury from attacking the Bank for doing too little in Iraq; days after Jim Wolfensohn visited Baghdad in the summer of 2003, and days before a World Bank expert was killed by Iraqi insurgents, The Wall Street Journal published an editorial broadside about the Bank's lack of involvement in the country. Throughout this period, the very idea of the international system was called into question; some parts of the administration believed we lived in a unipolar world--that the United States was the international system. The unipolar fantasy is a trap, for it is only in military matters that American power is overwhelming. In the economic realm, the United States is the leading power, but it is not the only power; it depends on foreigners to open up trade, to prime the pump of global growth, and to provide savings that pay for the federal government's spending habits.
Idiots. Thomas Barnett would probably agree that you can't, er, connect "the Gap" to "the Core" unless you, um, actually try to connect them to the Core. Argh.

I'll likely never take the time to offer a comprehensive review once I finish the book, so treasure this brief snippet accordingly.

And now a question for our knowledgeable readers: do the regional combatant commands (e.g. CENTCOM) have liaisons to major international bodies like the World Bank, does the State Department handle those things on the ambassadorial level, are there interagency coordination groups back in Washington, do they employ their own development specialists, etc.? To make this more concrete, how (if at all) would someone in charge of World Bank development projects for Nigeria coordinate with United States European Command, who runs training projects for the Nigerian military (but doesn't talk about it on its website)? I bring this up in light of my growing concern about the militarization of American foreign policy. I thought this passage from Dana Priest's The Mission was particulary illuminating:
Operation Focus Relief said a lot about the times. For decades, the federal government and Washington's inside-the-Beltway brain trust had poured money into studying the Third World and Africa. Even so, no one had gotten very good at mapping out, and then executing, long-term strategies to solve Africa's massive problems. Funds and programs came and went with each new administration and each new majority in Congress. As a result, sixty U.S. soldiers might walk through hip-deep bushy fields with a battalion of underfed Nigerian soldiers, showing them how to conduct an ambush, but no cadre of U.S. economists flew there to train officials in the country's economic ministry. No legion of agronomists camped out in the middle of nowhere to help improve farming techniques. Battalions of teachers did not deploy to repair the educational system. The Peace Corps was marginalized and outdated.

Using the American military to address global problems had become almost a reflex in Washington. But even the best U.S. troops could deal only with the symptoms, not the causes, of incipient problems. Military programs did little to help political systems move from dictatorship to democracy, or economies from government control to the free market.
I echoed my concern in comments to Steve Clemmons, and a smart commenter responded:
Praktike, don't blame the CinCs (sorry, I mean "combatant commanders"); as Congress gutted our foreign service, the task of diplomacy didn't go away, it just devolved to the military. The CinCs are very cognizant of the importance of diplomacy, and they'd like a heck of a lot more civilian support in what they're doing. Our elected officials, Republican and Democrat, have basically abdicated much of their responsibility and forced unwanted responsibilities upon military leaders. (Shades of "The Origins of the Military Coup of 2012.")

To be clear: I don't blame the CinCs (most of whom "get it" and are trapped by the system). I blame Congress. Development alone won't solve the terrorism problem (and as Mallaby says, the World Bank can't exactly wave a magic wand), but boosting failed or failing states is part of a long-term solution. States that work and can find hope for their people are states that will fight terrorism. But we're eating soup with a knife on a global scale here, or using hammers on what look like nails but are actually screws, or whatever. I'm sure there's some cliche that sums it all up.

In any case, this has to change, because we're trying to solve problems too late, with too few resources, and sometimes with the wrong resources. Maybe we have to get more creative about boosting the non-military capabilites of the regional commands, or at a minimum, improve our coordination with, say, the World Bank, which employs thousands of brilliant technocrats. It benefits from having a board that, unlike the United Nations Security Council, isn't set up in such a way that politics routinely interfere with doing good; unlike the UN, it's well-funded and highly driven. Still thinking out loud here ... maybe the State Department should be reorganized to match the regional commands. Why, for instance, do State's geographic divisions not match the Pentagon's? Why doesn't "jointness" extend beyond the military?

Now ... tell me why none of these inchoate thoughts are realistic. Imagine that George Bush is not the current president if that helps my case.

Note: good thinkin', Matt, but the U.S. is not about to give up its veto.
View Article  How do you say "quid pro quo" in Farsi?
Proving once again that the mad mullahs konw how the game is played, Iran pretty clearly inked a gas deal with China in exchange for protection on the the nuclear issue.

In other China news, Beijing is gearing up to host the WTO in November and again in the spring (this time in Shanghai).

Truly, China has arrived on the world stage.
View Article  Freedom, realism & international organizations
praktike's response to Arjun on "freedom and Kerry," got me putting some long-time thoughts down in writing. Though part of the comments to praktike's piece, I'm posting this comment to Arjun under "Scribbles & Musings" as well.

Arjun -- Your basic premises aren't the least bit "unrealistic" First of all, the use of the network of international organizations (IOs) -- which has been constructed with significant efforts by the US itself -- doesn't strike me as unrealistic. "Multilateralism" is part of the international reality within which we operate.

What strikes me as unrealistic is to expect that we can treat IOs as mere instruments of our own power, resent any modest limits they may place on our scope of options, and blame the organizations themselves as somehow at fault when they don't deliver what we want. But equally unrealistic is to expect IOs to be independent actors in an international governance system.   more »
View Article  US post-conflict transition capacity
NOTE of EVENT (pdf) -- October 20, Washington DC
Discussion with Ambdr Carlos Pascual, Coordinator, Office of Reconstruction and Stabilization, State Dept.
2:00-3:30 PM, Center for Strategic & International Studies


If we hadn't learned the lesson from Bosnia, Kosovo, East Timor, Haiti and Somalia, certainly Afghanistan and Iraq have taught us that the process of moving from full-blown combat operations to "normalcy" for a country torn by conflict requires what MC MasterChef has called "militarized nation-building": a complex deployment of military and civilian resources. The lack of coordination among US government departments and agencies prior to the Iraq invasion has been a common theme of the stream of post-mortems that continue to appear.

With a complete absence of fanfare, the Bush Admin has charged the State Department with tackling the Gordian knot of jurisdictional confusion and bureaucratic paralysis that has plagued post-conflict activities from planning through execution. A new unit attached at the Secretary level, the Office of Reconstruction and Stabilization, was apparently created by Powell in early August, though it didn't make it onto the press radar screen until a press release and briefing by State in late September.   more »
View Article  Responses to the ongoing disaster in Haiti
Since BD's Haiti story has moved off the front page at Tacitus, I thought I'd remind interested people that the immediate humanitarian crisis hasn't disappeared. The total numbers dead are now over two thousand if the missing are included, and famine is feared, given the extensive damage to crops and foodstores. Obviously, all the problems with unsanitary water are also emerging rapidly.

Establishing basic order, and preventing looting by desparate crowds, criminal gangs and armed rebels, is placing enormous strains on the UN peacekeepers. The Haitian police appear to be demoralized at best.   more »
View Article  Sistani raises the ante - elections must be representative
Aren't things in Iraq confusing enough without a Grand Ayatollah continually disrupting things over issues of democratic process? Not satisfied with achieving a commitment for national elections far earlier than the US had originally contemplated, he now is insisting that the elections be representative! Who does he think he is, a democratic reformer?

This time it's the UN, not the US, at the sharp end of Sistani's displeasure, since the UN is seen as responsible for the design of the election system that has been adopted for the January elections and for overseeing that the elections are conducted in a fair manner.

The initial report of Sistani's concerns by Dexter Filkins, which appeared in the today's New York Times, suggested that Sistani's representatives were engaged In discussions with the UN about Sistani's principal concerns: possible delay and the risk that the methods would underrepresent the majority Shi'ite population.   more »
View Article  "I expect most agencies to decide to leave"
So says Jean-Dominique Bunel, a coordinator for NGOs in Baghdad.